DataBaseball
2026
Jonathan Aranda headshot

1B · 2026

Jonathan Aranda

Age
28
B/T
L/R
Height
6' 0"
Weight
215 lb
Number
#8
Born
May 23, 1998 in Tijuana, BC, Mexico
MLB debut
June 24, 2022
dbWAR
5.1
3 season(s)
PA
497
AVG
.286
OBP
.372
SLG
.436
wRC+
128
100 = avg

Jonathan Aranda is a first baseman for the Tampa Bay Rays. In 2026 he hit 15 home runs and knocked in 72 RBIs, notching 122 hits across 497 plate appearances in 114 games. His batting average was .286, 17.3% higher than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .372 clip and slugged .436, for an OPS of .808, 12.3% higher than the league mark of .719 — the third best on his team, and 66th of 417 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 90.8 mph off the bat, hit 44.7% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 9.1% of them and made contact on 78.5% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 128 wRC+ puts his offence 28% above average. That comes to 2.1 dbWAR — +15.8 runs with the bat, -0.8 on the bases, -10.5 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+128
wOBA.357
ISO.150
BB%11.1%
WAR2.1

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These four terms sum to +21.0 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

Batting+15.8Baserunning-0.8Position-10.5Replacement+16.6
BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

WAR by season

2.81.40.0242526

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP1451243211639.258.352.306.30726.9%
vs RHP35230390143975.297.381.488.37721.3%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 320 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 318 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
9.1%
29 barrels
Exit velocity
90.8
mph average
Max exit velo
111.4
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
44.7%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
38.7%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
13.9°
average
Barrel rate9.1%
Exit velocity90.8 mph
Hard hit rate44.7%
Contact rate78.5%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.188.200.291.333.30423 AB.22227 AB.05319 AB.21233 AB.41251 AB.22631 AB.19436 AB.39041 AB.38234 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Jonathan Aranda hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations497.286.372.436.357
Bases empty2682335910103172.253.351.412.341
Runner on first10995294111219.305.394.442.375
Runners on229194635622442.325.397.464.375
RISP12099341511223.343.400.485.375

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
20261144971221572055114.286.372.436.150.35111.1%22.9%.357+15.81282.1
20251064221171459041107.316.393.489.173.4099.7%25.4%.384+24.01472.8
2024441433061401232.234.308.430.195.2648.4%22.4%.322+1.11070.3

Head to head

Put Jonathan Aranda beside up to three others.

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Jonathan Aranda

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.