DataBaseball
2026
Matt Shaw headshot

RF · 2026

Matt Shaw

Age
25
B/T
R/R
Height
5' 10"
Weight
185 lb
Number
#6
Born
November 6, 2001 in Springfield, MA, USA
MLB debut
March 18, 2025
Drafted
2023, round 1
College
Maryland
dbWAR
1.7
2 season(s)
PA
147
AVG
.246
OBP
.322
SLG
.415
wRC+
106
100 = avg

Matt Shaw is a right fielder for the Chicago Cubs. In 2026 he hit 4 home runs and knocked in 20 RBIs, notching 32 hits across 147 plate appearances in 51 games. His batting average was .246, 1.0% higher than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .322 clip and slugged .415, for an OPS of .737, 2.5% higher than the league mark of .719 — 7th of 13 on his team, and 153rd of 417 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 85.3 mph off the bat, hit 36.2% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 3.8% of them and made contact on 80.3% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 106 wRC+ puts his offence 6% above average. That comes to 0.5 dbWAR — +1.0 runs with the bat, +0.2 on the bases, -1.5 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+106
wOBA.327
ISO.169
BB%8.2%
WAR.5

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These four terms sum to +4.6 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

Batting+1.0Baserunning+0.2Position-1.5Replacement+4.9
BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

WAR by season

1.20.60.02526

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP6861172513.279.353.492.37019.1%
vs RHP7969152714.217.295.348.28917.7%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 105 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 105 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
3.8%
4 barrels
Exit velocity
85.3
mph average
Max exit velo
107.9
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
36.2%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
36.2%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
14.0°
average
Barrel rate3.8%
Exit velocity85.3 mph
Hard hit rate36.2%
Contact rate80.3%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.333.333.000.136.30010 AB.27311 AB7 AB4 AB7 AB.33315 AB.27311 AB3 AB.30813 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Matt Shaw hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations147.246.322.415.327
Bases empty67601433711.233.313.400.318
Runner on first3735110206.314.333.457.346
Runners on807018117516.257.329.429.335
RISP43357115510.200.326.400.325

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026511473242041227.246.322.415.169.2808.2%18.4%.327+1.01060.5
2025123437891344173894.226.295.394.168.2628.7%21.5%.302-4.8911.2

Head to head

Put Matt Shaw beside up to three others.

Compare — add up to 3 more players
Matt Shaw

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.