DataBaseball
2026
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headshot

1B · 2026

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Age
27
B/T
R/R
Height
6' 0"
Weight
245 lb
Number
#27
Born
March 16, 1999 in Montreal, QC, Canada
MLB debut
April 26, 2019
Salary, 2026
$40.2M
dbWAR
9.7
3 season(s)
PA
466
AVG
.261
OBP
.339
SLG
.359
wRC+
95
100 = avg

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is a first baseman for the Toronto Blue Jays. In 2026 he hit 7 home runs and knocked in 46 RBIs, notching 107 hits across 466 plate appearances in 110 games. His batting average was .261, 7.1% higher than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .339 clip and slugged .359, for an OPS of .698, 3.0% lower than the league mark of .719 — 7th of 15 on his team, and 226th of 417 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 90.1 mph off the bat, hit 43.5% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 6.0% of them and made contact on 79.9% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 95 wRC+ puts his offence 5% below average. That comes to 0.2 dbWAR — -2.6 runs with the bat, -0.6 on the bases, -10.2 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+95
wOBA.312
ISO.098
BB%10.1%
WAR.2

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These four terms sum to +2.1 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

Batting-2.6Baserunning-0.6Position-10.2Replacement+15.5
BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

WAR by season

5.82.90.0242526

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP111912521816.275.396.385.35514.4%
vs RHP3563208252947.256.320.350.29713.2%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 351 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 352 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
6.0%
21 barrels
Exit velocity
90.1
mph average
Max exit velo
116.0
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
43.5%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
30.1%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
7.9°
average
Barrel rate6.0%
Exit velocity90.1 mph
Hard hit rate43.5%
Contact rate79.9%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.300.176.304.137.25024 AB.20729 AB.31619 AB.24549 AB.31451 AB.33336 AB.53315 AB.28628 AB.17939 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations466.261.339.359.312
Bases empty25522856342640.246.325.333.302
Runner on first1141042838818.269.333.413.332
Runners on212183514422123.279.354.388.322
RISP987923134135.291.378.354.311

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
202611046610774674763.261.339.359.098.29010.1%13.5%.312-2.6950.2
2025156680172238468194.292.381.467.175.31311.9%13.8%.369+30.21373.7
20241596971993010327296.323.396.544.221.34210.3%13.8%.400+50.21595.8

Head to head

Put Vladimir Guerrero Jr. beside up to three others.

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Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.