DataBaseball
2026
Connor Norby headshot

1B · 2026

Connor Norby

Age
26
B/T
R/R
Height
5' 10"
Weight
180 lb
Born
June 8, 2000 in Brooklyn Park, MN, USA
MLB debut
June 3, 2024
Drafted
2021, round 2
College
East Carolina
High school
East Forsyth
dbWAR
1.4
3 season(s)
PA
233
AVG
.205
OBP
.313
SLG
.325
wRC+
87
100 = avg

Connor Norby is a first baseman for the Miami Marlins. In 2026 he hit 4 home runs and knocked in 16 RBIs, notching 41 hits across 233 plate appearances in 64 games. His batting average was .205, 15.9% lower than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .313 clip and slugged .325, for an OPS of .638, 11.3% lower than the league mark of .719 — 12th of 15 on his team, and 323rd of 417 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 87.0 mph off the bat, hit 36.6% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 6.1% of them and made contact on 67.3% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 87 wRC+ puts his offence 13% below average. That comes to -0.1 dbWAR — -4.4 runs with the bat, -0.4 on the bases, -4.4 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+87
wOBA.295
ISO.120
BB%10.3%
WAR-.1

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These four terms sum to -1.4 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

Batting-4.4Baserunning-0.4Position-4.4Replacement+7.8
BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

WAR by season

0.90.4-0.1242526

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP7156811219.143.324.268.29126.8%
vs RHP1621443331251.229.309.347.29731.5%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 131 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 131 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
6.1%
8 barrels
Exit velocity
87.0
mph average
Max exit velo
106.9
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
36.6%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
31.3%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
18.8°
average
Barrel rate6.1%
Exit velocity87.0 mph
Hard hit rate36.6%
Contact rate67.3%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.077.091.0007 AB.09122 AB5 AB.42119 AB.34626 AB.41217 AB7 AB.35728 AB.05618 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Connor Norby hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations233.205.313.325.295
Bases empty12210720331235.187.287.318.278
Runner on first60551001322.182.250.273.240
Runners on11193211131235.226.342.333.314
RISP513811112913.289.451.421.400

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026642334141662470.205.313.325.120.29110.3%30.0%.295-4.487-0.1
2025873377883481890.251.300.389.138.3245.3%26.7%.302-3.7950.9
2024451944292031564.236.294.438.202.3117.7%33.0%.317+0.8950.7

Head to head

Put Connor Norby beside up to three others.

Compare — add up to 3 more players
Connor Norby

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.