DataBaseball
2026
Nacho Alvarez Jr. headshot

3B · 2025

Nacho Alvarez Jr.

Age
22
B/T
R/R
Height
5' 10"
Weight
190 lb
Born
April 11, 2003 in Fontana, CA, USA
MLB debut
July 22, 2024
Drafted
2022, round 5
College
Riverside CC
dbWAR
-.2
2 season(s)
PA
208
AVG
.234
OBP
.296
SLG
.330
wRC+
77
100 = avg

Nacho Alvarez Jr. is a third baseman for the Atlanta Braves. In 2025 he hit 2 home runs and knocked in 15 RBIs, notching 44 hits across 208 plate appearances in 57 games. His batting average was .234, 4.6% lower than the league average of .245. He reached base at a .296 clip and slugged .330, for an OPS of .626, 12.9% lower than the league mark of .719 — 12th of 14 on his team, and 348th of 461 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 84.2 mph off the bat, hit 26.8% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 0.7% of them and made contact on 77.8% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 77 wRC+ puts his offence 23% below average. That comes to 0.2 dbWAR — -5.8 runs with the bat, -0.3 on the bases, +0.9 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2025.

wRC+77
wOBA.282
ISO.096
BB%5.8%
WAR.2

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2025. These four terms sum to +1.7 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

Batting-5.8Baserunning-0.3Position+0.9Replacement+6.9
BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

WAR by season

0.2-0.1-0.42425

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2025. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP554770514.149.241.191.20925.5%
vs RHP153141372735.262.316.376.30822.9%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2025.

Loading 141 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 142 tracked batted balls in 2025. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
0.7%
1 barrels
Exit velocity
84.2
mph average
Max exit velo
108.2
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
26.8%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
33.1%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
17.2°
average
Barrel rate0.7%
Exit velocity84.2 mph
Hard hit rate26.8%
Contact rate77.8%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2025.

.133.105.07114 AB.31619 AB.1258 AB.41217 AB.30826 AB.20020 AB5 AB.29417 AB.11118 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .245.

Situational hitting

How Nacho Alvarez Jr. hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations208.234.296.330.282
Bases empty1261182623332.220.264.339.267
Runner on first37341001210.294.333.324.297
Runners on827018012917.257.346.314.305
RISP4536801177.222.356.306.311

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2025.

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2025572084421501249.234.296.330.096.3045.8%23.6%.282-5.8770.2
20248323000010.100.156.100.000.1500.0%31.3%.129-4.8-29-0.4

Head to head

Put Nacho Alvarez Jr. beside up to three others.

Compare — add up to 3 more players
Nacho Alvarez Jr.

Similar players

Nearest 2025 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.