DataBaseball
2026
Connelly Early headshot

Pitcher · 2026

Connelly Early

Age
24
B/T
L/L
Height
6' 3"
Weight
195 lb
Number
#19
Born
April 3, 2002 in Midlothian, VA, USA
MLB debut
September 9, 2025
Drafted
2023, round 5
College
Virginia
dbWAR
1.4
2 season(s)
IP
91.2
ERA
3.44
FIP
4.59
K/9
9.1
FIP−
110
100 = avg

Connelly Early is a starting pitcher for the Boston Red Sox. In 2026 he struck out 93 batters over 91.2 innings across 17 appearances, 17 of them starts, going 7-5. His ERA of 3.44 was 17.7% lower than the league average of 4.18 — 11th of 17 on his team, and 156th of 467 among MLB pitchers with 20+ innings. Stripping out defence, his 4.59 FIP suggests that his ERA had some help behind him. He missed bats on 23.7% of swings (11.1% of every pitch he threw), walked 8.7% of the batters he faced and struck out 23.8%. His 0.5 dbWAR is built from that FIP rather than runs allowed, so it credits him for what he controls and not for the defence behind him.

League context

Percentile among qualified pitchers, 2026.

FIP4.59
K/99.1
WHIP1.25
WAR.5

Platoon splits

How left- and right-handed hitters fare against him.

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHB10798194629.194.252.337.26227.1%
vs RHB28324662112864.252.344.427.34322.6%

Pitch sequencing

What Connelly Early throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter
Four-seamSinkerChangeupCurveballSliderSweeper

Select a count to see exactly what Connelly Early throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, and how often it misses in 2026.

Four-Seam Fastball35.1%53694.02,33654.1%24.1%
Sinker19.9%30492.42,16645.4%12.7%
Changeup18.3%27983.71,26937.6%22.7%
Curveball10.9%16680.02,40447.0%21.7%
Slider8.0%12387.12,30248.8%28.6%
Sweeper7.9%12082.52,41546.7%43.1%
Connelly Early's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters.

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026171791.2750813593343.444.591.259.13.3821100.5
20254419.11201752942.330.911.0913.51.956220.9

Head to head

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Connelly Early

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by command, run prevention and role, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.